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| If an election were held Today |
| 06.02.08 (2:29 pm) [edit] |
|
Reading the polls, both provincial and national, this is how I see things breaking down if a federal election was held today. I see the Conservatives gaining at the expense of the Liberals in BC, solidifying their lead in Eastern Ontario, making solid gains in Quebec at the expense of the Bloc, loosing some ground to the Liberals in the 905 as a result of some NDP voters migrating to the Liberals and loosing ground to the Liberals in Newfoundland. As for the Liberals, I think they will pick up seats from both the NDP and Conservatives in the 905 and 416, pick up 2 seats from the Conservatives in Newfoundland , and pick up 2 seats from the Bloc as result of decrease in the Bloc vote in Quebec. On the flip side, the Liberals should loose ground to the NDP in Northern Ontario and as mentioned ground to the Conservatives in BC. The NDP will loose seats to the Liberals in the 416 and 905 and loose two seats to the Conservatives in BC. However, these looses should be offset by gains in Northern Ontario at the expense of the Liberals and picking up a seat an extra seat in Quebec. The Bloc will by far the worst of any of the major parties. I see their body of support slipping just enough to allow a stagnet Liberal party to regain three seats and they will loose voters on the left to the NDP and voters on the right to the Conservatives. The NDP should be to pick up Jeanne Le Bar and the Conservative will make major gains outside of Montreal at the Bloc's expense. Conservatives 141 Liberals 101 Bloc 35 NDP 29 Independents 2 BC Conservatives 21 (+4) NDP 8 (-2) Liberals 7 (-2) Alberta Conservatives 28 Saskatchewan Conservatives 13 (+1) Liberals 1 (-1) Manitoba Conservatives 9 (+1) NDP 4 (+1) Liberals 1 (-2) Ontario Liberals 56 (+2) Conservatives 39 (-1) NDP 11 (-1) Quebec Bloc 35 (-16) Conservatives 23 (+13) Liberals 14 (+1) NDP 2 (+2) Independents 1 New Brunswick Liberals 5 (-1) Conservatives 4 (+1) NDP 1 Novo Scotia Liberals 6 Conservatives 2 (-1) NDP 2 Independents 1 (+1) PEI Liberals 4 Newfoundland Liberals 6 (+2) Conservatives 1 (-2) NWT NDP Yukon Liberals Nunavut Conservatives (+1) Liberals -1 Conservatives 1) Conservatives pick up Newton North Delta from Liberals 2) Conservatives pick up Saint-Boniface from Liberals 3) Conservatives pick up Nunavut from Liberals 4) Conservatives pick up Fredericton from Liberals 5) Conservatives pick up Brant from Liberals 6) Conservatives pick up Huron-Bruce from Liberals 1) Conservatives pick up West Vancouver from Independent (Blair Wilson) 1) Conservatives pick up Vancouver Island North from NDP 2) Conservatives pick up British Columbia Southern Interior from NDP 1) Conservatives pick up Berthier Masinonge from Bloc 2) Conservatives pick up Saint Maurice from Bloc 3) Conservatives pick up Trois-Rivières from Bloc 4) Conservatives pick up Chicoutimi-Le Fjord from Bloc 5) Conservatives pick up Vaudreuil-Soulanges from Bloc 6) Conservatives pick up Brome-Missisquoi from Bloc 7) Conservatives pick up Compton-Stanstead from Bloc 8) Conservatives pick up Richmond-Arthabuska from Bloc 9) Conservatives pick up Shefferd from Bloc 10) Conservatives pick up Quebec from Bloc 11) Conservatives pick up Gaspésie-Île s-de-la-Madeleine from Bloc 12) Conservatives pick up Haute-Gaspésie-La Mitis-Matane-Matapé ;dia from Bloc 13) Conservatives pick up Montmorency-Charlevoix-Ha ute-Côte-Nord from Bloc Liberals 1) Liberals pick up St John’s East from Conservatives 2) Liberals pick up Avalon from Conservatives 3) Liberals pick up Mississauga Streetsville from Conservatives 4) Liberals pick up Vancouver Kingsway from Conservatives 5) Liberals pick up Ancaster-Dundas from Conservatives 6) Liberals pick up St. Catharines from Conservatives 1) Liberals pick up Trinity-Spadina from NDP 2) Liberals pick up Parkdale-High Park from NDP 3) Liberals pick up Hamilton Mountain from NDP 4) Liberals pick up Ottawa Center from NDP 5) Liberals pick up London-Fanshawe from NDP 1) Liberals pick up Ahuntsic from the Bloc 2) Liberals pick up Papineau from the Bloc NDP 1) NDP pick up Churchill from Liberals 2) NDP pick up Nickel Belt from Liberals 3) NDP pick up Algoma-Manitoulin Kapuskasing from Liberals 1) NDP pick up Oshawa from Conservatives 2) NDP pick up Thunder Bay Superior North from Conservatives 1) NDP pick up Jeanne Le Bar from the Bloc
|
posted by: c769qahgdr (reply)
post date: 07.15.08 (9:17 am)
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